| Symbol | Name | Open | High | Low | Close | Change | Volume | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZCZ26 | Corn | 438.00 | 440.00 | 433.50 | 434.75 | ▼ -3.25 | 154,963 | 2026-06-24 |
| ZSX26 | Soybean | 1,141.00 | 1,146.00 | 1,133.25 | 1,135.00 | ▼ -6.00 | 93,297 | 2026-06-24 |
| ZWU26 | Wheat | 598.00 | 607.50 | 593.50 | 596.00 | ▼ -2.00 | 72,761 | 2026-06-24 |
As CBOT corn hit fresh contract lows on Wednesday, European corn futures surged to contract highs. An extreme heatwave over western Europe, combined with prolonged dryness, has rallied November Euronext maize futures by more than 7% over the last seven sessions. USDA predicts that the European Union will harvest 2.26 billion bushels of corn in 2026/27, but that forecast could be in jeopardy.
Karen Braun
Funds have liquidated much of their long positions in grains and oilseeds in recent weeks. Nationally, crop conditions are only slightly better than average and weather is still a threat. Could the acreage report be bullish?
Strategy: Buying the September Short Dated 1160 Call and selling the 1240 Call for 15 cents (plus fees).
This is a bull-call strategy using short dated September options based on the November soybean futures. It expires on 8/21. If November Soybeans are trading above $12.60 on 8/21, both sides of this strategy would execute returning a premium of 80 cents. It can also be exited any time before expiration. It's intended as a re-ownership strategy, or as a speculative trade.
Speak with your Zaner professional to discuss what action might be best for you.
Ted Seifried
Northeast Iowa: corn and soybeans look great. The rain last week really helped with the moisture in the ground, with a slight chance of more rainfall in the forecast for the next 7 days. With this moisture and increased heat arriving next week, the corn and beans will grow like weeds! The corn is almost chest high currently. Normally, we would say that this is a little behind, but with the heat next week, it should put the corn and soybeans right on track. Meanwhile, on the livestock side, it is going to be a little warm for them. It shouldn't be too warm where the sprinklers have to go on, but shaded areas will be better for the livestock.
Charlie White
Corn futures continue to slide lower on early overnight trade
Fresh lows for July corn futures came in early overnight trade after weaker price action on Wednesday. Traders seem content to slowly add to short positions and not really rock the boat until the June Acreage and Quarterly Stocks reports at the end of this month. Broader macro markets have also been weighing on grains over the last couple weeks. A Bloomberg survey of traders showed average estimates for corn acres at 95.1 million acres, with a range of estimates from 94 million to 97 million acres. EIA's weekly update showed ethanol production down 12,000 barrels per day to 1.09 million barrels for the week ending June 19th. Ethanol stocks were up 111,000 barrels to 24.585 million.
July corn futures are within a couple of cents of $4.00: a very important mental level going into the end of the month. $4.25 is the top of the recent range, which feels like miles away at the moment.
Jason Clapp
November soybeans slip back below the 18-day moving average
The trade leaned on a favorable U.S. growing season, with abundant Midwest rainfall and moderate temperatures keeping crop development ahead of the normal pace and weighing on the new crop. Offsetting that, China has resurfaced with fresh new crop purchases over the past week, keeping a supportive demand narrative in play. Soybean meal and oil both settled lower, dragging on the crush. The trade now awaits USDA's weekly Export Sales figures for signs that Chinese interest is being sustained, and for acreage numbers at the end of the month.
November soybeans settled Wednesday at 1135.00, down 6.75, after trading a 1146.00 to 1133.25 range, closing back below the 18-day simple moving average at 1138.60. The 55- and 100-day averages near 1173.05 and 1164.87 cap the upside, while the 200-day at 1116.60 marks support. Daily RSI sits at 42.1, soft but not yet oversold. At the time of writing this, the overnight extends lower at 1131.25, down 3.75 (overnight session).
Dan Hussey
Fundamental narrative struggling vs price action. September contract support could see test
September Chicago wheat traded as high as 607 1/2, which was enough to generate early day session enthusiasm on Wednesday. But not long after 10AM CT, wheat fell in line with the rest of the ag complex and began to trade lower, closing at 596'0, down 1'0. Forecasts for rain in growing areas have pressured the market this week. Some see spring wheat acres marginally above USDA's March forecast of 9.415 million acres. Bloomberg's range of analyst guesses shows 9.1 to 9.8 million acres. Export sales data will be released Thursday. Range is 250,000 to 600,000 metric tons.
The 607 1/2 high looked to be what the market needed to turn a corner. Weaker trade into the close highlights the trouble wheat is having gaining traction since the swing high (626 1/2) was posted on June 18. Gains from the recent upside correction have evaporated. All moving averages are now back overhead except for the 200-day (589 1/2), which we appear poised to test.
Joe Nikruto
Feeders lead the way higher, rally resumes
Feeders and Live cattle resumed their upward bias yesterday with August cattle up .052 cents per hundred weight, closing at $246.525. August Feeder cattle had a strong charge higher, up $4.775 per hundred weight, settling at $372.925 off the high of $375.40. A lower corn market didn't hurt the bulls' cause. Stronger cash feeder market and box beef prices are helping out as well: midday box prices were reported mixed with choice up .63 cents at $400.94, while select was $1.20 lower at $379.86. Live hogs were mixed yesterday, with the deferred contracts showing a little strength up .40 on average, while the front end were off .375 cents. July lean hogs made new contract lows again with a sluggish cash market not helping the cause.
Feeders had a nice rally midday and held onto most of their gains into the close. The August RSI is sitting at 63, so not in overbought territory yet. August Live cattle RSI is at 55, with more room to run higher if it can break out of the pennant formation.
Sherman Newlin
Crude oil led the macro tape lower, with front month August WTI settling Wednesday at 70.34 (down 2.87) and extending to 69.19 at the time of writing this in overnight trade, its lowest print since late February. The trade unwound war risk premium as tankers moved freely through the Strait of Hormuz and U.S.-Iran peace talks progressed, easing supply fears. Technically, crude is stretched, sitting deep below every major moving average with Daily RSI near 24.6 in oversold territory, leaving room for a relief bounce even as the path of least resistance stays lower.
Equities split from energy. The S&P 500 settled at 7428.25, down 9.25, and the Nasdaq 100 fell 151.75 to 29514.25 on a megacap pullback, yet both clawed back up overnight, the S&P up 33.25 and the Nasdaq up 474.25 as easing Middle East tensions and cheaper oil revived risk appetite. The indices remain above their longer moving averages, keeping the broader uptrend intact, though Daily RSI near neutral reflects hesitation. The indices trade now turns to the Fed path, deciding if the hawkish tone is here to stay, with OPEC+ and weekly EIA inventories steering crude.
Dan Hussey
Discussion has increased over the last couple days about the high temperatures coming to the Midwest starting next week. Most forecasters are in agreement that the ridge will continue to push west through the first week of July and then return to normal/slightly below normal temperatures through the rest of July. The NOAA Week's 3-4 maps below are in agreeance with that idea. There are a few forecasters thinking that the dome of heat could linger longer into the month. Precipitation could be hit and miss through the Midwest that week, but concerns for severe weather is on the rise.
Jason Clapp
Karen Braun’s Market Context Newsletter provides data-driven market commentary that helps readers understand the “why & how” in whatever hot topics are driving the markets.
Ted Seifried’s Daily Hotline highlights the day’s market happenings, top news, trends and what to look out for going forward.
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